[1]张文武,李江峰,龙关旭,等.区域桥梁退化特征和绿色低碳管养决策[J].长安大学学报(自然科学版),2026,46(01):108-117.[doi:10.19721/j.cnki.1671-8879.2026.01.008]
 ZHANG Wen-wu,LI Jiang-feng,LONG Guan-xu,et al.Degradation characteristics of regional bridges and green low-carbon management and maintenance decision[J].Journal of Chang’an University (Natural Science Edition),2026,46(01):108-117.[doi:10.19721/j.cnki.1671-8879.2026.01.008]
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区域桥梁退化特征和绿色低碳管养决策()
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长安大学学报(自然科学版)[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
第46卷
期数:
2026年01期
页码:
108-117
栏目:
桥梁与隧道工程
出版日期:
2026-01-31

文章信息/Info

Title:
Degradation characteristics of regional bridges and green low-carbon management and maintenance decision
文章编号:
1671-8879(2026)01-0108-10
作者:
张文武1李江峰2龙关旭3高欣凯4夏烨2*
(1. 山东高速集团有限公司,山东 济南 250098; 2. 同济大学 土木工程学院,上海 200092; 3. 山东高速集团有限公司 创新研究院,山东 济南 250098; 4. 山东高速工程检测有限公司,山东 济南 250002)
Author(s):
ZHANG Wen-wu1 LI Jiang-feng2 LONG Guan-xu3 GAO Xin-kai4 XIA Ye2*
(1. Shandong Hi-Speed Group Co., Ltd., Jinan 250098, Shandong, China; 2. College of Civil Engineering,Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China; 3. Innovation Research Institute, Shandong Hi-Speed Group Co., Ltd., Jinan 250098, Shandong, China; 4. Shandong Hi-Speed Engineering Consulting Group Co., Ltd., Jinan 250002, Shandong, China)
关键词:
桥梁工程 NSGA-Ⅲ 退化模型 养护决策 绿色低碳
Keywords:
bridge engineering NSGA-Ⅲ deterioration model maintenance decision green low-carbon
分类号:
U445.7
DOI:
10.19721/j.cnki.1671-8879.2026.01.008
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为使桥梁养护适应当前可持续发展要求,构建了一个融合桥梁退化预测、成本控制与绿色低碳目标的管养决策模型; 通过调研和机理探究,选取桥梁位置、设计时速、路基宽度、交通量、桥龄、桥型等作为特征列,基于反向传播(BP)神经网络构建了桥梁退化预测模型,将桥梁总体、上部、下部及桥面状态划分为5个等级; 提出了桥梁养护碳排放计算框架,包括维修工程和延误交通两部分,系统搜集并整理了材料生产与运输、能源及施工机械等环节计算时所需碳排放因子,根据二氧化碳在大气中随时间衰减的情况引入动态碳排放因子,以反映衰减效应,并从单桥单次维修、单桥多次维修逐步推出多桥多次维修的计算方法; 在此基础上,通过非支配排序遗传算法-Ⅲ(NSGA-Ⅲ)构建了基于养护费用、安全评级、二氧化碳排放量这3个目标函数的多目标优化模型; 以山东高速公路网为例,选取1 362座桥梁的7 225组数据进行模型训练和验证,通过设定不同的代价系数,调整BP神经网络模型层数,以准确率为评价指标测试了不同神经网络参数的退化模型的性能,并选取了最优模型; 进一步将该退化模型与NSGA-Ⅲ结合,通过非支配排序给出了Pareto前沿解集,设置了不同区分点,得到了不同偏重指标的养护策略。研究结果表明:在4层隐藏网络结构和对低等级状态预测错误设置更高惩罚权重的代价系数条件下,退化模型取得的分类准确率为76.5%,相较于网络结构相同但仅考虑均等错误代价的基线模型(分类准确率为67.2%)有明显提升,表明采用的代价敏感学习策略能改善模型对关键状态的预测性能; 结合NSGA-Ⅲ和较优的退化预测模型得到的Pareto解集包含了费用、均衡、安全与绿色方案,每个方案都无法在不损失其他指标的前提下提高某个指标,是局部最优解,而多种差异化方案能够满足桥梁养护的多样需求。
Abstract:
To adapt bridge maintenance to current sustainable development requirements, a management and maintenance decision model integrating the bridge deterioration prediction, cost control, and green low-carbon objectives was constructed. Through the investigation and mechanism analysis, bridge location, design speed, subgrade width, traffic volume, bridge age, and bridge type were selected as the characteristic columns. A bridge deterioration prediction model was developed based on the back propagation(BP)neural network. The overall, superstructure, substructure, and deck conditions of bridges were classified into five grades. A calculation framework for bridge maintenance carbon emissions was proposed, including two parts: maintenance work and traffic delay. Carbon emission factors required for calculation in material production and transportation, energy, and construction machinery phases were systematically collected and organized. The dynamic carbon emission factor was introduced based on the decay of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere over time to reflect the attenuation effect. The calculation method was progressively derived from a single bridge with a single maintenance, to a single bridge with multiple maintenances, and finally to multiple bridges with multiple maintenances. On this basis, a multi-objective optimization model with three objective functions, such as the maintenance cost, safety rating, and carbon dioxide emission, was constructed using the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-Ⅲ(NSGA-Ⅲ). Taking the Shandong Expressway Network as an example, 7 225 sets of data from 1 362 bridges were selected for model training and validation. By setting different cost coefficients and adjusting the number of layers in the BP neural network model, the properties of deterioration models with different neural network parameters were tested using accuracy as the evaluation indicator, and the optimal model was selected. This deterioration model was further combined with NSGA-Ⅲ. The Pareto front solution sets were obtained through non-dominated sorting, and by setting different differentiation points, maintenance strategies with different emphases on indicators were derived. The research results show that under the conditions of a 4-layer hidden network structure and adopting a cost coefficient with a higher penalty weight to prediction errors for lower condition grades, the deterioration model achieves a classification accuracy of 76.5%, showing a clear improvement compared to the baseline model with the same network structure but considering only equal error costs(the classification accuracy is 67.2%). This indicates that the adopted cost-sensitive learning strategy can improve the model's prediction property for critical conditions. The Pareto solution set obtained by combining the relatively optimal deterioration prediction model with NSGA-Ⅲ includes the cost-oriented, balanced, safety-oriented, and green-oriented solutions. Each solution cannot improve one indicator without sacrificing others, making them local optimal solutions. While these diverse solutions can meet the varied needs in bridge maintenance.6 tabs, 8 figs, 30 refs.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2025-07-22
基金项目:国家自然科学基金项目(52278313); 山东省交通运输厅科技计划项目(2021B51)
作者简介:张文武(1981-),男,山东济宁人,高级工程师,从事区域桥梁群智能监测与安全风险监控研究,E-mail:147849246@qq.com。
通信作者:夏 烨(1983-),男,湖南永州人,副教授,工学博士,E-mail:yxia@tongji.edu.cn。
更新日期/Last Update: 2026-02-20