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Analysis of combined emission and transportation policies using a multi-regional CGE model(PDF)

长安大学学报（自然科学版）[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

Issue:
2024年5期
Page:
194-203
Research Field:
交通能源融合技术专题
Publishing date:

Info

Title:
Analysis of combined emission and transportation policies using a multi-regional CGE model
Author(s):
WANG Zong-bao1; 2;  ZHONG Ming1; 2;  MA Xiao-feng1; 2
(1. Intelligent Transportation Systems Research Center, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063,Hubei, China; 2. National Engineering Research Center for Water Transport Safety,Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan 430063, Hubei, China)
Keywords:
traffic engineering;  energy and transportation policy;  computable general equilibrium;  energy transport;  carbon tax
PACS:
U491
DOI:
10.19721/j.cnki.1671-8879.2024.05.016
Abstract:
Implementing the carbon tax and shifting energy inputs from coal to electricity are vital for mitigating carbon emissions in the energy-recipient region. However, limited studies have thoroughly examined the combined impacts of these two policies. An analysis model for combined energy emission and transportation policy was developed based on the multi-regional computable general equilibrium(CGE)modeling approach to quantitively analyze the comprehensive impact of the above policies. The proposed model evaluated the multifaceted effects of different policy portfolios, providing a reference for regional carbon emission control and energy transportation strategies. Taking the Yangtze River Delta(YRD)region as the case study, the impacts of emission and transportation policies on economic development, carbon dioxide emissions, energy demand structure, and inter-regional energy imports were analyzed. The results show that both the coal-to-electricity transformation and regional carbon tax policies are beneficial in promoting electricity consumption and curbing carbon dioxide emissions in the YRD region. The formulation of the coal-to-electricity policy needs to take into account the region’s energy demand structure. At a transformation ratio of 0.15, this policy stimulates GDP growth and increases electricity consumption, and effectively reduces the region’s carbon dioxide emissions. In comparison, while the carbon tax policy also effectively reduces regional carbon dioxide emissions, it hurts regional GDP. Given the stimulating effects of the carbon tax policy on electricity demand, its concurrent implementation with a well-formulated energy transformation policy can not only foster economic development in the energy-recipient region, but also stimulate power imports from energy-production regions. In the scenario where the regional carbon tax price is 120 RMB/ton, adjusting the transformation ratio to approximately 0.12 is recommended to optimize GDP performance. Therefore, for the key regions in the transition to low-carbon economies, it is essential to implement the combined emission and transportation policies to enhance the region’s low-carbon development level.9 figs, 25 refs.

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Last Update: 2024-10-20