[1]玛依拉·艾则孜,林 强,姚志刚,等.基于家庭结构差异的学生出行方式选择行为[J].长安大学学报(自然科学版),2017,37(06):113-120.
　Mayila AIZEZI,LIN Qiang,YAO Zhi-gang,et al.Behavior of students’ travel mode choice based on family structure differences[J].Journal of Chang’an University (Natural Science Edition),2017,37(06):113-120.
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基于家庭结构差异的学生出行方式选择行为()
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长安大学学报（自然科学版）[ISSN:1006-6977/CN:61-1281/TN]

卷:
第37卷
期数:
2017年06期
页码:
113-120
栏目:
交通工程
出版日期:
2017-11-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Behavior of students’ travel mode choice based on family structure differences
文章编号:
1671-8879(2017)06-0113-08
作者:
玛依拉·艾则孜; 林 强; 姚志刚; 郗恩崇
1. 长安大学 经济与管理学院，陕西 西安 710064；2. 新疆交通科学研究院，新疆 乌鲁木齐 830000
Author(s):
Mayila AIZEZI;  LIN Qiang;  YAO Zhi-gang;  XI En-chong
1. School of Economics and Management, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, Shaanxi, China; 2. Xinjiang Academy of Transportation Sciences, Urumqi 830000, Xinjiang, China
关键词:
交通工程; 出行方式选择; MNL模型; 学生出行; 家庭结构
Keywords:
traffic engineering;  travel mode choice;  MNL model;  student travel;  family structure
分类号:
U491.11
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了解家庭结构差异对学生出行方式选择行为的影响，更好地获知学生出行特点，以针对学生群体制定更加合理的交通需求管理政策，并进一步优化学生的出行环境及出行结构。以中小学生出行方式选择行为为研究对象，基于多项logit（MNL）模型建立不同家庭结构的学生出行方式选择模型，研究不同家庭结构类型下各类影响因素对学生出行方式选择的具体影响，并对学生交通需求管理中的3类重点可控因素（公交卡持有比例、接送比例、家庭小汽车拥有量）进行敏感性分析。研究结果表明：不同家庭结构下的学生出行方式选择特性存在差异，公交卡持有比例、接送比例、家庭小汽车拥有量对不同家庭结构类型的学生出行方式选择均具有显著影响；鼓励学生办理公交卡可以提高各类家庭学生选择公交出行的比例，对单亲家庭学生出行结构的改善效果优于双亲家庭与有老人家庭的学生；鼓励学生自主出行能有效降低各类家庭学生选择小汽车出行的比例，控制家庭小汽车拥有量将明显改善各类家庭学生的出行结构，上述2类措施对双亲家庭与有老人家庭学生的实施效果优于单亲家庭学生；由于双亲家庭与有老人家庭的学生自主出行能力较弱，针对学生群体制定交通需求管理措施时应重点关注双亲家庭与有老人家庭的学生。
Abstract:
To study the influence of family structure differences on students travel mode choice, which contributes to a better understanding of students’ travel characteristics, and make proper transportation demand management policy for students, it’s useful to further optimize the travel environment and structure of students. This paper set primary and secondary school students travel mode choice behavior as the research object, established students travel mode choice model of different family structures based on multinomial logit (MNL) model, studied the influence of various factors on students’ travel mode choice under different family structure types, and made sensitivity analysis for three key controllable factors of students’ traffic demand management, including bus card holding ratio, companion ratio, family car ownership. The results show that students’ travel choice characteristics are different, and bus card holding ratio, companion ratio and family car ownership have significant influence on students’ travel mode choice for different family structure types. Encouraging students to apply for bus card can improve the proportion of all kinds of family students choosing travel by bus, and the improvement of single-parent family students behavior is better than that of students with two-parent family and elderly family. Encouraging students to travel independently can effectively reduce the proportion of students choosing car travel in various families. Controling the family car ownership can significantly improve the travel structure of students in different families. Implementation effect of the above two types of measures on students with two-parent family and elderly family are better than that of students with single-parent family. Due to the weak ability of independent travel of students with two-parent family and elderly family, therefore, students from two-parent family and elderly family are paid more attention in order to develop traffic demand management measures.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2017-05-01 基金项目：国家社会科学基金项目（16BJY117）作者简介：玛依拉·艾则孜（1983-），女，新疆沙雅县人，工学博士研究生，E-mail: 58204251@qq.com。通讯作者：〖HTSS〗郗恩崇（1946-），男，河北保定人，教授，博士研究生导师，E-mail: xiench@chd.edu.cn。
更新日期/Last Update: 2017-12-18